Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.003885 0.004084 0.004288 0.004513 0.004754 0.005006 0.005289
2025-08-03 0.003518 0.003809 0.004121 0.004480 0.004884 0.005326 0.005847
2025-08-10 0.003281 0.003623 0.003999 0.004445 0.004963 0.005548 0.006266
2025-08-17 0.003165 0.003553 0.003989 0.004519 0.005151 0.005887 0.006819
2025-08-24 0.003022 0.003437 0.003912 0.004502 0.005222 0.006081 0.007200
2025-08-31 0.002892 0.003327 0.003833 0.004472 0.005267 0.006237 0.007534
2025-09-07 0.002765 0.003212 0.003738 0.004414 0.005269 0.006335 0.007791
2025-09-14 0.002649 0.003104 0.003647 0.004353 0.005261 0.006413 0.008021
2025-09-21 0.002577 0.003046 0.003612 0.004359 0.005336 0.006598 0.008399
2025-09-28 0.002447 0.002910 0.003474 0.004226 0.005221 0.006525 0.008417
2025-10-05 0.002385 0.002857 0.003438 0.004222 0.005276 0.006678 0.008754
2025-10-12 0.002359 0.002847 0.003457 0.004289 0.005424 0.006963 0.009293
2025-10-19 0.002288 0.002779 0.003397 0.004251 0.005430 0.007053 0.009556
2025-10-26 0.002225 0.002720 0.003347 0.004223 0.005448 0.007160 0.009848
2025-11-02 0.002165 0.002661 0.003296 0.004191 0.005457 0.007252 0.010121
2025-11-09 0.002147 0.002658 0.003318 0.004258 0.005610 0.007559 0.010745
2025-11-16 0.002099 0.002612 0.003281 0.004243 0.005641 0.007686 0.011089
2025-11-23 0.002049 0.002563 0.003237 0.004215 0.005652 0.007781 0.011385
2025-11-30 0.001993 0.002503 0.003176 0.004162 0.005622 0.007811 0.011574
2025-12-07 0.001938 0.002444 0.003116 0.004105 0.005585 0.007828 0.011739
2025-12-14 0.001908 0.002417 0.003098 0.004111 0.005642 0.007993 0.012167
2025-12-21 0.001835 0.002330 0.002995 0.003988 0.005497 0.007831 0.012014
2025-12-28 0.001805 0.002302 0.002974 0.003985 0.005537 0.007967 0.012395